Hot & Cold outcomes

An outcome is hot when, over a recent window, it appeared more often than its expected frequency, and cold when less. It is a simple comparison of observed versus expected frequency in the distribution.

It is crucial to understand what it is not: in a fair game every round is independent, so "hot" or "cold" say nothing about the next outcome. Believing otherwise is the gambler's fallacy. We publish this data as a transparent historical snapshot, not as a prediction system.